Adam I, Editor
SERKATIA – The sixth legislature of the Ruling Council dissolved on Wednesday, which makes this an ideal time to look back on the term which has just gone, as well as speculate about what the future holds for Adammia’s parties and key politicians.
Not counting the fallow months between now and the autumn, Lord Helliker has now effectively completed his first term of office as Prime Minister. The term has gone well – despite a few inactive months following the New Year, the governing coalition has succeeded in bringing a healthy amount of legislation through the Council. Legislation around the courts and electoral law is aimed at strengthening the rule of law in Adammia, something which is badly needed following last year’s government transition. However, regardless of what the statute book says, Adammia’s presence is still felt very weakly in provinces such as Alluria and Paternia. Next term, there will be an expectation for the executive to switch to a higher gear, with a particular need to get the Adammic Police Force up and running again – constables have still not been appointed for the new provinces.
The Moderates still have only one active member – the Prime Minister – which means they lack any substantial presence on the Ruling Council. However, this might not matter; Helliker has proved a competent Prime Minister and it is probably more likely than not that he will be re-elected in October based on his personal vote. From there, the Moderates can easily work with the Liberals – with whom they share similar ideological ground – and independent members to secure a Council majority.
One thing that is clear from the events of the past year – especially the recent establishment of the Dank Party – is that Adammic politics remains very fluid. New members have been hesitant to get on board with existing parties, instead opting to start their own, or remain as independent members. In particular, this spells trouble for the Liberal Party. Despite currently having more Council seats than any other party, they will soon lose Lord Gurr as he leaves the Council after graduating from Birmingham University. That, combined with the fact that the party’s leader, Lord General Panconi, is extremely inactive, means that the Emperor could be the Liberals’ only active politician next term – and of course, he is prohibited from running for Prime Minister due to being Monarch. Unless the Liberals can recruit someone new quickly, they will probably have to nominate Panconi again, who will almost certainly not win another National Election. A potential solution could be for the Liberals to merge with the Moderates – as already mentioned, the two parties already occupy similar ideological ground, and they have proven that they can work well together as part of the current coalition. However, both parties have long and proud histories, and they may be unwilling to surrender their traditional identities.
Another party that will probably be in trouble is the Nuclear So-and-so Party. Lady Admiral Simpson is currently their only active member, and like Lord Gurr she will probably be leaving the Council after she graduates. Even if the Nuclear So-and-sos manage to recruit a new member, they could be hurt electorally by the fact that they did not actively promote their manifesto much during the past term; they U-turned on STV, instead supporting the Liberal proposal of AV. It had previously been expected that Lady Peace might might join the Nuclear party, given that she and Lady Simpson are close friends, but the establishment of the Dank Party means that instead, the Dank Party will probably replace the Nuclear So-and-sos in the next legislature. At the last election, despite their unusual name, the Nuclear party presented a serious challenge to the Moderates, falling short by just a couple of votes. Could the Dank Party inherit this strong position? That depends on whether Lady Peace is prepared to adopt a more serious position – despite their name, the Nuclear So-and-sos did have a serious, yet radical, manifesto. Running on a joke platform may be entertaining, but as was showed by Lord McKenna’s disastrous re-election campaign in August 2017, it rarely yields results in Adammia.
The Labour Party is in a similar situation to the Dank Party. Newly-revitalised with a single active member in the form of Lord Maude (who will likely be party leader by the autumn, with Lord Hall expected to stand down in his favour this summer), Labour too must make a choice between a serious platform or a novelty platform. Maude is yet to fully reveal his plans for Labour, but his comments at his first Ruling Council meeting mostly seemed to be aiming to satirise Corbynism.
So, looking at the current state of play, we can see two possible outcomes for the next National Election:
-Either there is no serious opposition to Lord Helliker, and he is easily re-elected, or;
-Either Lord Maude or Lady Peace get together a serious manifesto and run a strong campaign against Helliker.
However, there is a third possibility – someone new could come onto the scene. With Paternia due to be ceded back to the United Kingdom in September, the Emperor is already looking at possibilities for new provinces which could replace it. It is understood that the government is preparing for a massive citizen recruitment campaign in the autumn, viewing the political community at Birmingham University as fertile ground. New figures entering Adammic politics could offer new leadership to the Liberal Party, create a rallying point for the opposition parties against Lord Helliker, or even to start another new party altogether which could receive mainstream support. However, it’s worth viewing this possibility with caution – despite lots of excitement last autumn about new politicians from Alluria and Paternia, it turned out that very few of the new citizens were interested in Adammic politics, and the Emperor had to look elsewhere to create a complete Council. Whatever happens, one thing is for sure – October is going to be a very interesting month indeed.