New figures show collapse in Adammic economy with GDP slashed in half

Adam I, Editor

SOUTH ALLURIA – A short while ago, the Ministry of Finance published its annual reports following the end of the Adammic financial year on Saturday. The figures showed a budget deficit larger than anticipated, and, worryingly, a huge recession which has crippled the Adammic economy.

Balancing the Accounts
Financial reports for the year have been published.

The Treasury has been producing its annual statements at the start of October since 2014, but this is the first year that they have been consolidated with the economic data to produce one single document, being called the Treasury and Economic Reports. The Budget for the financial year, approved by the Ruling Council last October, had planned to run a deliberate deficit, in order to reduce the level of unspent reserves in the Treasury. With revenues predicted at around £70, expenditure of £100 had been approved in order to run a deficit of £30. However, due to the logistical issues involved with the Emperor living away from home in Birmingham, over £20 worth of Contributions went unpaid, and they were recently written off by the Cabinet following a mix-up where many in the government had believed that the Contributions Scheme had been suspended months previously. As a result, government revenue for the 2016-17 financial year was £50.32, against expenses of £95, giving a deficit of £44.68. This brought Treasury reserves from £85 this time last year to £40.32 now. Whilst this is lower than expected, this shouldn’t be a cause for alarm. The next government will likely cut public spending in its Budget and allow reserves to build back up a little. However, the report does note that future revenues are currently uncertain, with a poor economy yielding low taxes and the fate of the Contributions Scheme undecided. The backdrop of the ongoing transition of central government from Yorkshire to Birmingham is likely to cause some upheaval in the public finances going forward.

Graph of the GDP throughout Adammia’s history, with the recent collapse clearly visible.

Far more eye-catching is the news regarding the economy, which is far from optimistic. A number of factors conspired to yield a massive recession: unpaid Contributions as already mentioned, Maker Studios terminating its contract with AB Animation Ltd., Top Hat Software being unable to find new commissions, and reduced wine and newspaper sales. The GDP plummeted from £118.95 last year to just £50.58 now, representing a recession of 57.48%.

The only glimmer of hope was from new company Adammic Investment Ltd., a subsidiary of Emperor Adam I’s Imperial Holdings group; their initial investments have reportedly earned impressive capital gains, although they have been largely offset by the overheads involved in setting up the investment fund’s portfolio (in particular, the brokerage transaction fees and stamp duty). The company is adopting a buy-and-hold strategy in order to reduce overheads from transaction fees, so if their investments continue to perform well on the stock market, they could soon start to become a major player within the Adammic economy. Recently, the Emperor provided an additional £120 of equity to the fund, which was invested in ETF tracker funds for the Euro Stoxx 50 and Standard & Poor 500 indices.

Once the new government in Birmingham has been assembled, it will already have its first challenge in front of it – how to get the economy moving again. The MoF report notes that the transition could provide both opportunities and problems, and advises ministers to think carefully. Much is uncertain at this point in time, but things can’t get much worse than they are currently, so no doubt many will be tempted to believe that an economic recovery is inevitable.

Despite the economic hardship, unemployment is actually down, and is now at 15.6%. This is mostly due to an influx of new citizens in North Alluria who are either enlisted in the Military or, in some cases, involved in Alluria’s civil administration. The National Employment Agency also updated its definitions so that being a member of the Ruling Council counts as employment in its own right.

The report can be read in full here.


Plans for government transition to Birmingham accelerated

Adam I, Editor

SOUTH ALLURIA – The Emperor made a visit to the home provinces over the past weekend during which he chaired the 67th meeting of the Ruling Council. Here, a surprise announcement was made: the plan to relocate Adammic central government from the old Yorkshire territories to new territories in Birmingham, originally slated for the New Year in the State Opening of Council speech last month, has been brought forward to late October.

The Emperor proposed a transitional timetable as follows: negotiations with interested parties in the Selly Oak area of Birmingham would continue over the following month, and arrangements would be made for the handover of financial control and other functions. The Council meeting in late October would be the final meeting in Yorkshire, where an “Empire of Adammia Act” would be tabled in order to enact the changes. At least three provinces would be created in Birmingham, those being the current subdivisions of North and South Alluria, alongside the term-time residence of Admiral Ems Simpson, which is also expected to join the Empire at some point in the next week with temporary colonial status. The existing provinces of Tytannia, Primoria, Maternia and possibly Watertopia will also be merged into a single province known as Greater Tytannia, which will continue to be represented on the new Birmingham Ruling Council by the Emperor. V Legislature would then have an early dissolution, after only three meetings. Simultaneously, a referendum will be held on an amendment to the Supreme Directive, which will have two key aims: firstly, removing the requirement for monthly meetings, as they will not be possible in Birmingham during the summer holidays; and secondly, removing the minimum timespan between elections, as it will be necessary to hold early elections once the handover takes effect. Local elections have been slated for early November followed by a National Election in mid-November, the State Opening of Council for VI Legislature in late November, and a Budget debate in early December. The Emperor confirmed that Prince Jake will continue to serve as Prime Minister right up to the National Election, due to the fact that there will be no October Budget as there normally would be following the end of the financial year, and a Cabinet needs to remain in place throughout the transition so that Emergency Appropriations can be issued, preventing financial paralysis and a government shutdown.

White Gold Palace will soon host the Ruling Council for the last time for the foreseeable future.

The issue of finances, however, raised an alarming issue. During the meeting, the Emperor suggested that the Contributions Scheme should be suspended going forwards, at which point Sir Reginald Hall, the Minister of Finance, stated that he had believed that Contributions had already been suspended for some time. It seemed that the source of the confusion had been a motion passed around a year previously in line with the Labour Party manifesto at the time, calling for Contributions to be suspended when they were not needed. Whilst the Minister had interpreted this suspension as permanent, the Emperor – who, as the government’s only civil servant, was the one updating the spreadsheets – had interpreted it was only applying to that month, and had been continuing to add Contributions debt ever since. At this time, there were over £20 in unpaid Contributions, which had gone uncollected largely due to the Emperor’s university studies. The Cabinet eventually resolved to not only suspend Contributions for good, but also to write off all existing owed payments. This turn of events represents an embarrassing miscommunication within the government, but it does present a good argument for the transition to Birmingham, where the new government should be much more regularly in contact and therefore less prone to such communications issues.

Shortly after the meeting, Watertopia was finally able to hold its local election, albeit two months late. Madam Julie Foster was re-elected as Councilor unopposed.

Financial reports are expected soon due to the end of the fiscal year.

Adammia Signs Treaty With Abelden

Adam I, Editor

SOUTH ALLURIA – In the early hours of Tuesday morning, His Imperial Majesty the Emperor signed a treaty of mutual recognition with the Abeldane Empire and Commonwealth, entering Adammia into formal diplomatic relations with Abelden. The possibility of signing such a treaty was first proposed by the Abeldane Emperor, Stephen I & II, around three weeks ago. The agreed-upon treaty was based on a standard template that the Adammic Ministry of Foreign Affairs created in 2014 for mutual recognition treaties. The Abeldane legislature, the Reichsversammlung, took some time to make a minor amendment to the wording before ratifying the treaty.

The coats of arms of Adammia and Abelden.

Abeldane joins a small number of nations which Adammia has signed similar treaties with over the years, such as Mercia, Uberstadt, Wyvern, Florenia and Lundenwic. This is the second such treaty Adammia has signed this year, coming after one in August with Lundenwic. Adammia on the whole has been in a quiet and isolationist phase for the past half a year on the foreign affairs front, and this is likely to remain the case over the coming months as the Empire focuses inward, preparing for the Emperor’s planned transition of central government from the old Yorkshire territories to Birmingham.

The treaty can be read here.

Alluria Relocated and Partitioned, Boosting Population

Adam I, Editor

SOUTH ALLURIA – Last night, the Office of the Emperor issued Imperial Decree LI, which moved the Colony of Alluria from its original location in Edgbaston, Birmingham to nearby Selly Oak.

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The garden of South Alluria.

Alluria was originally founded in October 2016 in order to claim the halls of residence where the Emperor was living during his first year of study at the University of Birmingham. Several flatmates of the Emperor joined the colony, such as Sir Luca Panconi, who became the General of the 2nd Infantry Division, and Madam Anna Darke, who became the colony’s Governor in March 2017. In June, the residents of Alluria vacated the territory and have since been moving in to new housing. Decree LI divides the colony into two counties, North Alluria and South Alluria. The former is the new residence of Darke, Panconi and several other Adammic citizens, whilst the latter is the new residence of the Emperor and Sir Alex Helliker, who was the Empire’s first ever citizen (besides the Emperor himself) and is now the Emperor’s legal advisor. The Emperor and Helliker met online before the Empire was founded, but coincidentally both began studying at the University of Birmingham last year. Panconi has been made Count of North Alluria, whilst Helliker has been made Count of South Alluria. Darke remains the colony’s overall governor.

Both of the counties in this new iteration of Alluria consist of a single terraced house each, and are just over 400 metres apart as the crow flies. As a result of the move, a number of honourary citizens – friends of Allurian residents last year who have now moved in with them in North Alluria – are now living in the colony and as such have been automatically upgraded to full citizenship. This has boosted the Empire’s population to 34, up from 30.

The Emperor moved from his summer residence in Adamsville, Primoria to what is now South Alluria on the 23rd of August, and the Office of the Emperor has now fully set up its operations there, along with the many agencies and organisations the Emperor also runs.

Decree LI appears to be the first phase of the plan the Emperor announced in his State Opening of Council speech to “aggressively” expand the Empire’s Birmingham operations with the aim of relocating most government functions there by the New Year. The Adammic Express understands that there are more interested parties in the area who could soon be joining the Empire.

Liberal-Labour Coalition Sees Smaller Cabinet

Adam I, Editor

SELLY OAK, West Midlands – The Ruling Council convened for the first time since the National Election on Saturday the 19th for the State Opening of Council. Following the Emperor’s opening speech, the Government Ministries Act 2017 was tabled by the Liberal Party, acting on their manifesto pledge to reduce the number of government departments. With the Act passed, the Ministry of Citizenship and the Ministry of Information have now merged into the Ministry of Citizenship and Information, and the Culture, Science & Technology, Environment and Infrastructure ministries have formed a combined Ministry of National Development.

Once the Act was passed, the Emperor announced the Cabinet which has been formed by incoming Prime Minister Prince Jake. The reduced size of the Cabinet has meant that this is the first time that a grand coalition of all parties has not been necessary. Instead, Prince Jake’s Liberals have formed a coalition with the Labour Party, who came third in the recent election. Labour’s Council representation includes respected statesmen such as long-serving Deputy PM Sir Reginald Hall and former PM Sir Paul McKenna, which is likely the main reason why the Liberals opted to work with them rather than the Moderate Party. The new Cabinet is as follows:
Prime Minister – HIH Prince Jake
Deputy Prime Minister – HG Sir Reginald Hall
Minister of Finance – HG Sir Reginald Hall
Minister of Foreign Affairs – HIM Emperor Adam I
Minister of Defence – HG Sir Paul McKenna
Minister of Citizenship and Information – HG Sir David Hall
Minister of National Development – HIH Prince Jake
This leaves the Moderates as the first real opposition party in Adammic history, and makes Emperor Mother Jayne Belcher the de-facto Leader of the Opposition.

The new Cabinet soon set to work, and approved an Emergency Appropriation – the first of its kind – to pay for the shipping costs for the new flag as well as a new camera tripod which had recently been bought for Adammic Online Broadcasting. This additional £30 of public spending is intended to replace some of the Defence and Science & Technology allocations which were approved in the October 2016 Budget but were never actually needed. An Emergency Appropriation is a way to authorise public spending when it is impractical to wait for the Ruling Council to pass a new budget (which it tends to do annually, every October); it must be approved by both the Cabinet and the Office of the Emperor, and the Ruling Council reserves the right to review the decision and cancel it if it so wishes.

In other news, the Office of the Emperor announced on Sunday night that it had issued an Imperial Decree removing the requirement for proposed Acts of Council to be seconded before they can tabled for a Council debate. In a press release, the Office explained that the requirement was causing unnecessary delays during Ruling Council meetings. It is not usual practice for an Imperial Decree to amend an Act of Council (in this case the Internal Procedures Act 2017), which the Office acknowledged, stating that it was impractical to wait for the Council to handle the issue.

Earlier today, the Emperor left Adamsville and travelled to his new term-time residence in Selly Oak, Birmingham (preparations for this move are the reason why this article is delayed). It is expected that legislation will be signed within a week officially relocating the Colony of Alluria from its original location in nearby Edgbaston and splitting it into two subdivisions, one being at the Emperor’s new house and the other being at the residence of Alluria’s governor Madam Anna Darke, where a number of Adammic citizens now live.

National Election 2017 – Post-election Analysis

Adam I, Editor

ADAMSVILLE, Primoria – It’s the day after Prince Jake’s surprise victory in the National Election and we’re now going to break down the results subdivision by subdivision, to find out what the Liberals did right and what the other parties got wrong.

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Polling station in Imperial City, Tytannia.

With only two votes between the Liberals and the Moderates, we can all agree that the result could easily have been very different. There were two key factors which pushed the results in Prince Jake’s favour. The first was the seemingly arbitrary decision by the ANP to endorse him, giving him a couple more votes than we were expecting him to get. However, Emperor Mother Jayne could still have tied him, or even won herself, if it hadn’t been for lower turnout in areas which should have supported her. Midgard, for example, had 0% turnout and its sole resident is a former Borealian – people who historically backed the Moderates. Why these two or three missing Moderate supporters didn’t vote remains a mystery, but it is clear that they cost the Emperor Mother the election.

One of the more dramatic stories of the election is the huge collapse in support for Labour’s then-incumbent Prime Minister, Sir Paul McKenna, who went from 52.2% last year to just 16.7% this year. We knew that the introduction of a third candidate would split the vote shares of both the Moderates and Labour, and we also suspected that Labour would be the worst hit, but the swing from Labour to Liberal was much more significant than any of us were expecting. For the most part, the Moderates held steady; though they lost votes in Myway and Maternia, these were partially offset by gains in places like Primoria. Their support base in Watertopia, Dearneland and the non-territorial citizens remains mostly intact. Labour were decimated in areas which turned out for them last year; from winning all four of Primoria’s votes in 2016, this year they won just one. Watertopia, Kappania and the non-territorial citizens also abandoned Labour in large numbers, and it was mainly at the benefit of the Liberals.

What does this tell us? It seems that the electorate has become polarised between the more traditional Moderates and the radical Liberals. Whilst both parties are economically centrist, they both have very different values – the Moderates have a family-driven agenda, whereas the Liberals are concerned with individual freedoms as well as being far more imperialist than the other parties. Labour did little to set themselves apart from these two sides; policy-wise they could almost be described as “Moderate-lite”. We would argue that Labour have some serious work to do distinguishing themselves from the other two parties if they want to win again.

Liberal support in Primoria was towards the lower bound of what we were expecting; had they tried harder they could probably have won more than just two votes there. In the end, there was quite a spread of support, though with the Liberals on top as anticipated.

Maternia was most notably lacking in support for McKenna. Mathematically, we can infer that McKenna did not vote for himeself, a curious decision. Was he deliberately trying to not win the election?

The results in Tytannia, Watertopia, Myway and Dearneland were pretty much exactly as we predicted. El Grandens and Kappania – the ANP heartlands – raised eyebrows by choosing to support Prince Jake, the candidate for their old enemies the Liberal Party. If history is to be believed, the ANP may now expect something in return for their support, and will likely become angry if the government does not deliver. However, the Liberals – Adammia’s most progressive party – will probably be reluctant to be seen as relying on the “alt-right” ANP for support. There is no known deal of any sort between the two parties, and the Liberals will not be under any obligation to appease the ANP, though this could easily backfire at the next election if the ANP switch sides.

We were surprised that Midgard had 0 turnout and, as mentioned earlier, this seems to have harmed the Moderates. We hesitantly suggested that Pererria might vote Liberal and this was indeed the case.

That just leaves the non-territorial citizens. Although four of them voted for McKenna last year, this year he got nothing from them, and they account for a large part of his drop in votes. This demographic has in fact shrunk over the past year and their turnout was down, so they’re not as important in deciding the result as they have been in the past. The Moderates did well here – better, in fact, than last year – whilst the Liberals picked up another single vote.

Now the question is where do we go from here? The biggest issue that the Liberals had with their campaign was the obvious inexperience of Prince Jake. If his party gives him some proper media training, he may be able to deliver a more professional campaign next time round with the aim of solidifying the Liberal Party’s weak hold on power. If the Moderates want to overtake their rivals and once again return to the top, they will have to go on the offensive and become more critical of the new government. They’ll have to make some noise and inspire their supporters to turn out for the next election where they didn’t this time, as well as hopefully recruit some new supporters. Labour, meanwhile, have a lot of work cut out for them; as we already said, they need to distinguish themselves from the other two parties and forge a new identity in order to stay relevant. Adammia’s demographics are constantly in a state of flux as new territories come and go, and this will provide parties both new and old with opportunities to find new supporters. It is expected that over the coming year, the Empire will significantly expand its operations in the student community of the University of Birmingham. The political parties of Adammia face the challenge of balancing these newcomers and their traditional supporters in the old provinces.

Prince Jake Elected Adammia’s 3rd Prime Minister

Adam I, Editor

Prince Jake

Prince Jake pictured in Tytannia in 2015.

ADAMSVILLE, Primoria – Shortly after midnight, the Office of State announced the final results of the 2017 National Election. It has been confirmed that Prince Jake of the Liberal Party has been elected as Prime Minister of the Empire of Adammia, with 11 votes or 45.8% vote share. Behind him were the Moderate Party’s Emperor Mother Jayne with 9 votes (37.5%) and Labour’s Sir Paul McKenna with 4 votes (16.7%). Prince Jake becomes Adammia’s third Prime Minister and the first ever Liberal Party Prime Minister. Incumbent PM McKenna saw a massive collapse in his vote, whilst the former Moderate PM Emperor Mother Jayne held steady and came close to regaining her old office. 24 out of 29 electors cast their votes, giving a reduced turnout of 82.76%.

Prince Jake is expected to appoint his Cabinet within a week, before the State Opening of Council. Detailed analysis of the election result, looking at each subdivision in turn, will follow shortly.

National Election 2017 – Live Updates

Adam I, Editor

12/08/2017 12:20

ADAMSVILLE, Primoria – Polling day is finally here. Very soon, ballots will be sent out to voters from all corners of the Empire. As the result for each province, colony and territory comes in, we will update this live feed. Stay tuned for results and hour-by-hour analysis as the new election map unfolds before us.

12/08/2017 15:38

(Something to set the mood…)

ADAMSVILLE, Primoria – Over the past three hours, we’ve had seven sub-divisions declaring their results, representing around a third of the electorate. The big story so far is that Prince Jake has exceeded expectations and is currently leading the pack. Here is what we have so far:

Emperor Mother Jayne Belcher (MOD): 1
Sir Paul McKenna (LAB): 1
Prince Jake (LIB): 2

Emperor Mother Jayne Belcher (MOD): 1
Sir Paul McKenna (LAB): 0
Prince Jake (LIB): 0

Emperor Mother Jayne Belcher (MOD): 0
Sir Paul McKenna (LAB): 0
Prince Jake (LIB): 1

Emperor Mother Jayne Belcher (MOD): 1
Sir Paul McKenna (LAB): 0
Prince Jake (LIB): 1

Emperor Mother Jayne Belcher (MOD): 0
Sir Paul McKenna (LAB): 1
Prince Jake (LIB): 0

Emperor Mother Jayne Belcher (MOD): 0
Sir Paul McKenna (LAB): 0
Prince Jake (LIB): 1

Emperor Mother Jayne Belcher (MOD): 0
Sir Paul McKenna (LAB): 0
Prince Jake (LIB): 1

Currently, Prince Jake is on 6 votes, the Emperor Mother is on 3 votes, and McKenna is on 2. The surprise decision by the ANP to back Prince Jake has given the Liberals an unexpected boost and this could be what they need to get ahead of the Moderate favourite. The province of Primoria is expected to be the next to declare, probably within the next half an hour. It’s also clear that McKenna is performing badly so far.

12/08/2017 16:32

ADAMSVILLE, Primoria – Primoria declared its results a few minutes ago and, interestingly, they came out exactly the same as Myway:

Emperor Mother Jayne Belcher (MOD): 1
Sir Paul McKenna (LAB): 1
Prince Jake (LIB): 2

The current tally is LIB 8, MOD 4, LAB 3. With 15 votes counted, we’re now around half-way through, and Prince Jake has a convincing lead. However, we’re expecting to see strong numbers for Emperor Mother Jayne once the non-territorial votes are counted at midnight which could see her draw level. Yet to declare are Watertopia, Alluria and Midgard, and we’re hoping to have some of those out within the next few hours. For now, however, things will probably start to slow down after the initial rush of declarations over the past four hours.

12/08/2017 21:57

With two hours left until polls close, things have become very quiet. From our understanding, turnout could be low in the subdivisions which have not yet declared. This is particularly bad news for Emperor Mother Jayne as these regions have historically supported her; Watertopia is a Moderate heartland, and Midgard is populated by a resident of the former colony of Borealia, which also turned out for the Emperor Mother in 2015. Unless there is a major shift in the final two hours, it is increasingly starting to look like we could have an unlikely winner in the form of Prince Jake.

12/08/2017 23:05

Watertopia has just declared as follows:

Emperor Mother Jayne Belcher (MOD): 1
Sir Paul McKenna (LAB): 0
Prince Jake (LIB): 1

This extra vote for the Moderates keeps them in the game as the non-territorial declaration looms ever closer with less than an hour to go, but the gap between them and the Liberal candidate is simply not closing. The Moderates will need a very good set of closing results to beat the Liberals at this point. Another big story is the huge collapse in Labour’s vote share; they’re still trailing behind on just 3 votes, without many prospects for winning more. At this point, it is almost impossible for McKenna to win, and we can confidently say that Adammia will soon have a different Prime Minister. The results at the time of writing:

National Election 2017 Pre-election Analysis

Adam I, Editor

ADAMSVILLE, Primoria – In mere hours, the people of the Empire will be going to the polls. In this piece, we will be analysing the strengths and weaknesses of each candidate, the quality of their party’s manifesto, and their performance in the interviews we published a short while ago. Bearing all this in mind, combined with historical election data from 2013-2016 and our personal knowledge of the residents of each of Adammia’s territorial subdivisions, we will be predicting how each province, colony and territory will vote tomorrow, and who stands the best chance of winning. Will Labour’s Sir Paul McKenna hang on to power for a second term? Will Moderate candidate Emperor Mother Jayne make a triumphant return to the premiership? Or will the Liberal Party’s Prince Jake – the first ever candidate for Adammia’s oldest political party – cause an upset?

Over the past two years since their formation, the Labour Party of Adammia have continued to surprise punters. Last August, they managed to get one of their own into the office of Prime Minister for the first time in history. Sir Paul McKenna’s term has mainly been notable for being possibly the most uneventful in Adammic history, and there haven’t been too many events – positive or negative – to impact McKenna’s reputation. Therefore, it is the election campaign itself which will determine his chances.

The big news of this election is that, for the first time ever, a third candidate is standing – the Liberal Party have finally been able to field an eligible candidate after Prince Jake reached the minimum age requirement of 12 years. This will undoubtedly split the votes of the big two parties of the past two years, but the big question is who will be affected most? As we will shortly discuss, it is Labour’s McKenna who is most at risk of losing votes to the Liberals, potentially handing a victory to the Moderates. As a result, the onus is on him to keep the premiership in Labour’s hands.

For the most part, McKenna is a practical, sensible politician. However, this year, his campaign has become more bold and has stepped up the rhetoric. A line in the Labour manifesto about schools first raised eyebrows – Adammia does not have a school system, but McKenna described the policy as “ideological”. His recent interview with the Adammic Express gave a much clearer indication that McKenna may be trying to avoid the caricature of the “boring” candidate by being deliberately controversial. Many of his statements in the first half of his interview were clear references to US President Donald Trump. It seems reasonable to assume that these comments were supposed to mock Trump rather than be taken seriously, but we will let the reader decide whether that is truly the case. Overall, McKenna has presented himself with competence and he has a decent support base of traditional Labour voters, but his party’s manifesto is the shortest out of the three, and his interview’s less-than-serious tone could easily backfire. Following the less-than-serious answers in the first half of his interview, his later answers portrayed him as a pragmatic, centrist candidate. However, this means he will be fighting for political ground with the similarly centrist Moderates and even the “radical centrist” Liberals – will he have done enough to distingish himself from them?

Then we come to the Emperor Mother Jayne Belcher. Elected Prime Minister in 2013, 2014 and 2015, she is by far the most experienced candidate on offer. The Moderate Party support base has been reduced over the years, but it remains consistently able to deliver victory to the party’s candidates, and it stands to reason that it could be more resilient than the Labour support base following the introduction of a Liberal candidate. As a result, the Emperor Mother goes into 2017 in a strong position. Her manifesto was targeted at her traditional supporters particularly in the provinces, promoting family values, although she did not have much to offer for other sections of the electorate in the territories and elsewhere. The manifesto, whilst not as ambitious as the Liberal Party’s, carefully outlined a number of proposals and, perhaps critically, described why those policies would be beneficial for the Empire. In a similar vein, her election interview came across as thoughtful and confident, something that the other two candidates seemed to be sorely lacking. The Moderates have stuck to their guns and maintained the stance that their name suggests, and although this many not be particularly inspiring, it is a tried and tested approach which has worked in the past.

Finally, we should discuss the candidate who is perhaps the underdog in this election, Prince Jake. As the first ever Liberal Party candidate in a National Election, his chances of success are quite hard to predict. Although he has youth on his side and could be seen as a fresh face, it’s also hard to deny his relative lack of experience compared to the other two candidates: the incumbent Prime Minister and a former Prime Minister. Prince Jake has been Minister of Defence in McKenna’s Cabinet for the past year as part of the grand coalition. The Liberal Party manifesto, written by Emperor Adam I, is full of radical proposals such as massively reducing the size of the Cabinet by merging government departments together, hosting an intermicronational summit in either London or Birmingham, and creating one or more universities to teach skills relevant to Adammia. Whilst there is no doubt that there will be sections of the electorate who will be excited by this vision for the Empire which is quite different from the more traditional Labour and Moderate manifestos, as Prince Jake’s recent interview has shown, the Liberal candidate himself could present problems. There were two parts of his interview which really stuck out to us. The first was his answer on hypothetically legalising cannabis – a straight no. Both McKenna and the Emperor Mother said they would be open to allowing medicinal use of cannabis – does this mean that they are more liberal than the Liberal candidate? Or is it this more likely answer – that Prince Jake’s youth and comparatively low level of education mean that he is simply less informed about political issues? It’s worth noting that Prince Jake does not seem to be at odds with the Liberal manifesto – he voted for it at the Liberal Party conference last month, and in his interview he stressed his close ties with the Emperor, the party’s president and the author of the manifesto. However, far more worrying was his answer to the final question, in which he stated that “I don’t understand a lot of this,” seemingly referring to Adammic politics in general. This line is particularly embarrassing for the Liberal campaign team, who will now no doubt be regretting not giving Prince Jake more media training. The pre-election interview has left Prince Jake’s lack of experience glaringly obvious. However, backed by a radical manifesto, and with the possibility of significant sections of the electorate looking for an alternative from the old Moderate-Labour dichotomy, he shouldn’t be written off just yet.

Now we will go through each territorial subdivision and analyse how they might vote tomorrow.

Primoria: This is one of the few areas where the Liberals have a good chance. This is Prince Jake’s home province, and half of the province’s residents are Liberal Party members. He should be able to pick up at least two votes here, and if he has a particularly good day he could even pick up all four, as McKenna did last year. The other two parties may be able to get out one or two votes between them.

Maternia: The home province of both the Moderate and Labour candidates, we think that they will both get one vote each here.

Tytannia: The capital province’s sole resident is a Labour member, so this should be an easy single vote for them.

Watertopia: If this province is also divided along party membership lines, expect one Moderate and one Liberal vote.

Myway: Half of Myway’s residents are Liberal members, so they should get a good showing here and pick up a couple of votes. By the same standard, Labour should pick up another vote, and the fourth vote is up in the air, although the Moderates stand a good chance of getting it.

Alluria: As one of the new subdivisions which has joined the Empire in the past year, Alluria is hard to predict. What we do know is that Alluria’s residents are university students, and their support for Jeremy Corbyn’s UK Labour Party could translate across to Adammia, possibly giving Labour a couple of votes here. The Liberals are also in a good position to gain one or two, and the Moderates may pick up one if they’re lucky, although we don’t expect that this will really be their territory.

Dearneland: Dearneland is also hard to predict – it voted Moderate last year but voted Liberal in the Delegate of the Colonies by-election. We’re going to hesitantly say Moderate for now.

El Grandens, Kappania and Midgard: We have grouped these three territories together as they all fall under the banner of the Adammic National Party voting bloc. Without a candidate of their own, the ANP will likely collectively back one of the other candidates, and we think the Moderates are their most likely choice. Expect at least two Moderate votes from these territories, if not all three. The Liberals, the ANP’s old enemies, are likely to do poorly here.

Pererria: As another one of the new territories, Pererria is also hard to predict. What we do know is that Pererria’s sole voter is a member of the UK Liberal Democrats, so this could translate across to the Liberals – although this is speculative guesswork at best.

Non-territorial citizens: This includes the Ordo Vladius and the residents of former territories who have maintained their citizenship. We’re expecting around six or seven votes to come in here, and we think the Moderates could do pretty well, gaining three or four of them, with the Liberals and Labour left to fight over the rest.

Now for our final prediction. We think that Emperor Mother Jayne stands the best chance of winning the election, with the other two candidates fighting for a close second. In reality, this election is too close to call yet. With a sample size so small – less than 30 citizens are eligible to vote – surprises can easily happen. Don’t forget last year, when early on it seemed as if the Moderates were doing really well, until Labour won all four votes in Primoria and drew even; they went on to win that election. However, all that aside, our final predictions are as follows, within around +/- 4 votes:
MOD 12
LIB 10

In 24 hours time, we will know how close our predictions have been, and we will either know for certain or have a pretty good idea of who the next Prime Minister of the Empire of Adammia will be. Remember – get out and vote tomorrow!

National Election 2017 – Candidate Interviews

It’s the eve of polling day and here are our interviews with the three candidates standing to be Prime Minister in this year’s National Election. The first three questions are fairly generic. Our fourth question aimed to place the candidates on the liberal / authoritarian axis, whereas the fifth question aimed to do the same for the capitalist / socialist axis.

Interview with His Grace Sir Paul McKenna PM COA, Duke of Maternia (LABOUR)

What sets you apart from the other two candidates?
I am the best Prime Minister in Adammia’s history. Anyone who says otherwise is a purveyor of fake news.

What will be your number one priority if you win the election?
To wage hellfire and destruction on North Korea (just prior to slashing the defence budget to zero).

What are your thoughts on the state of Adammia over the past year?
The change of Prime Minister is the undoubted highlight!

Hypothetically, would you support making cannabis legal or not? Why?
No I don’t think so but would support it’s medical use.

Do you think individual people and companies should drive the economy, or should it be run by the government? Or somewhere in between?
Somewhere in between. Companies supported by government policies .

Any final thoughts?
Vote for the incumbent!

Interview with Her Imperial Highness Emperor Mother Jayne Belcher COA, Councilor for Maternia (MODERATE)

What sets you apart from the other two candidates?
I think I should be elected as I tend to take on leader role among family citizens. I am a good decision maker and in being a Moderate, I am considerate, liberal and diverse.

What will be your number one priority if you win the election?
My main priority, should I win the election would be to focus on health and leisure. I will organise walks in the countryside for citizens. I will also ensure that provision for barbecues is readily available to allow for spontaneous events.

What are your thoughts on the state of Adammia over the past year?
Adammia has functioned while the Emperor has been at university. However, this has posed logistical problems as in relation to meetings and frequency. I don’t think the newsletters have been monthly.

Hypothetically, would you support making cannabis legal or not? Why?
I would support legalised cannabis for medical conditions. It eases symptoms for several illnesses and improves quality of life. Such people should not be criminalised for being in possession. It would be interesting to look at countries like Amsterdam and see whether this seems to lead onto further drug use. Cannabis use can lead to paranoia in those susceptible to mental illness. By the same token, alcohol probably causes more problems to self and society at large.

Do you think individual people and companies should drive the economy, or should it be run by the government? Or somewhere in between?
I think individuals and companies do drive the economy but I don’t think they should control / govern it as personal gain and corruption could come into play. That said, a government could be involved in underhand practices which could never be made public knowledge.

Interview with His Imperial Highness Prince Jake, Duke of Primoria (LIBERAL)

What sets you apart from the other two candidates?
I spent more time around the Emperor, which makes things more convenient.

What will be your number one priority if you win the election?
To be helpful.

What are your thoughts on the state of Adammia over the past year?
Slightly less eventful than the other 4 years.

Hypothetically, would you support making cannabis legal or not? Why?
No, because it is highly addictive and ruins lives.

Do you think individual people and companies should drive the economy, or should it be run by the government? Or somewhere in between?
Government, because they have more authority and more people can decide on something.

Any final thoughts?
I don’t understand a lot of this.

Our final pre-election analysis, including analysis of the interviews, will be published shortly. Stay tuned tomorrow as we carry out our live feed of election results from across the Empire.